
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if jury deliberations in "The People of the State of New York v. Donald J. Trump" end on Wednesday, May 29, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, on Wednesday, this case is dismissed, if there is a mistrial, or if this case ends due to a plea agreement before the end of jury deliberations, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the presiding court in this case, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if jury deliberations in "The People of the State of New York v. Donald J. Trump" end on Thursday, May 30, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, on Thursday, this case is dismissed, if there is a mistrial, or if this case ends due to a plea agreement before the end of jury deliberations, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the presiding court in this case, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if jury deliberations in "The People of the State of New York v. Donald J. Trump" end on Friday, May 31, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, on Friday, this case is dismissed, if there is a mistrial, or if this case ends due to a plea agreement before the end of jury deliberations, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the presiding court in this case, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if jury deliberations in "The People of the State of New York v. Donald J. Trump" end on Saturday, June 1, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, on Saturday, this case is dismissed, if there is a mistrial, or if this case ends due to a plea agreement before the end of jury deliberations, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the presiding court in this case, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if jury deliberations in "The People of the State of New York v. Donald J. Trump" end on Sunday, June 2, 2024 ET or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If, on Sunday or later, this case is dismissed, if there is a mistrial, or if this case ends due to a plea agreement before the end of jury deliberations, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the presiding court in this case, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 7:54:50 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.