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What will Vance say during Rogan podcast?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$628.8K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCOct 30, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
25 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
CIAClosedMarket odds0%
Will JD Vance say "CIA" during the Joe Rogan podcast?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Oct 30, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
JD Vance has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Wednesday, October 30, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says "CIA" or "Central Intelligence Agency" during their appearance on this podcast. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "CIA" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the US Central Intelligence Agency. If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.