
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
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This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 21, 6:10 PM ET and March 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). A ‘mention’ includes the following: -A verbal usage of the word which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. -Any written usage of the word published through Trump's social media or other official communication channels regardless of capitalization. Alternative spellings of the word (e.g., Zelensky vs. Zelenskyy), or minor misspellings within one character (insertion, deletion, substitution, or transposition) of the correct spelling, will count toward the resolution of this market, so long as the intended word is clearly identifiable from context. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 21, 6:10 PM ET and March 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). A ‘mention’ includes the following: -A verbal usage of the word which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. -Any written usage of the word published through Trump's social media or other official communication channels regardless of capitalization. Alternative spellings of the word (e.g., Zelensky vs. Zelenskyy), or minor misspellings within one character (insertion, deletion, substitution, or transposition) of the correct spelling, will count toward the resolution of this market, so long as the intended word is clearly identifiable from context. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 21, 6:10 PM ET and March 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). A ‘mention’ includes the following: -A verbal usage of the word which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. -Any written usage of the word published through Trump's social media or other official communication channels regardless of capitalization. Alternative spellings of the word (e.g., Zelensky vs. Zelenskyy), or minor misspellings within one character (insertion, deletion, substitution, or transposition) of the correct spelling, will count toward the resolution of this market, so long as the intended word is clearly identifiable from context. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 21, 6:10 PM ET and March 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). A ‘mention’ includes the following: -A verbal usage of the word which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. -Any written usage of the word published through Trump's social media or other official communication channels regardless of capitalization. Alternative spellings of the word (e.g., Zelensky vs. Zelenskyy), or minor misspellings within one character (insertion, deletion, substitution, or transposition) of the correct spelling, will count toward the resolution of this market, so long as the intended word is clearly identifiable from context. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 21, 6:10 PM ET and March 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). A ‘mention’ includes the following: -A verbal usage of the word which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. -Any written usage of the word published through Trump's social media or other official communication channels regardless of capitalization. Alternative spellings of the word (e.g., Zelensky vs. Zelenskyy), or minor misspellings within one character (insertion, deletion, substitution, or transposition) of the correct spelling, will count toward the resolution of this market, so long as the intended word is clearly identifiable from context. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 21, 6:10 PM ET and March 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). A ‘mention’ includes the following: -A verbal usage of the word which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. -Any written usage of the word published through Trump's social media or other official communication channels regardless of capitalization. Alternative spellings of the word (e.g., Zelensky vs. Zelenskyy), or minor misspellings within one character (insertion, deletion, substitution, or transposition) of the correct spelling, will count toward the resolution of this market, so long as the intended word is clearly identifiable from context. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 21, 6:10 PM ET and March 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). A ‘mention’ includes the following: -A verbal usage of the word which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. -Any written usage of the word published through Trump's social media or other official communication channels regardless of capitalization. Alternative spellings of the word (e.g., Zelensky vs. Zelenskyy), or minor misspellings within one character (insertion, deletion, substitution, or transposition) of the correct spelling, will count toward the resolution of this market, so long as the intended word is clearly identifiable from context. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 21, 6:10 PM ET and March 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). A ‘mention’ includes the following: -A verbal usage of the word which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. -Any written usage of the word published through Trump's social media or other official communication channels regardless of capitalization. Alternative spellings of the word (e.g., Zelensky vs. Zelenskyy), or minor misspellings within one character (insertion, deletion, substitution, or transposition) of the correct spelling, will count toward the resolution of this market, so long as the intended word is clearly identifiable from context. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between March 21, 6:10 PM ET and March 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). A ‘mention’ includes the following: -A verbal usage of the word which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. -Any written usage of the word published through Trump's social media or other official communication channels regardless of capitalization. Alternative spellings of the word (e.g., Zelensky vs. Zelenskyy), or minor misspellings within one character (insertion, deletion, substitution, or transposition) of the correct spelling, will count toward the resolution of this market, so long as the intended word is clearly identifiable from context. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 8:14:01 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.