What will Trump say first during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Liquidity

Unavailable

Deadline · UTC

Feb 24, 2026

Yes bid / ask

99.9¢ / 100.0¢

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Resolution rules

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812 This market will resolve according to the first listed term Donald Trump says during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "None". If Donald Trump does not say any listed term during the event, this market will resolve to "None". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Retrieved 10/4/2026, 9:49:08 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.