
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to speak in an X space with @Farokh and RugRadio on Monday, September 16, 8:00 PM ET (see: https://x.com/farokh/status/1834386255661892069). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "crypto" 5 or more times during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "crypto" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrency-related" counts). If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 23, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the recording of the space.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to speak in an X space with @Farokh and RugRadio on Monday, September 16, 8:00 PM ET (see: https://x.com/farokh/status/1834386255661892069). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Bitcoin" and/or "BTC" 5 or more times during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Bitcoin" or "BTC" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "Bitcoin-related" counts). If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 23, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the recording of the space.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to speak in an X space with @Farokh and RugRadio on Monday, September 16, 8:00 PM ET (see: https://x.com/farokh/status/1834386255661892069). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "reserve" during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "reserve" is part of the compound word and references the federal government's holding of an asset to bolster the United States Dollar (e.g. "reserve-status" counts). If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 23, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the recording of the space.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to speak in an X space with @Farokh and RugRadio on Monday, September 16, 8:00 PM ET (see: https://x.com/farokh/status/1834386255661892069). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "card" during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "card" is part of the compound word and references a collectible item sought after for collecting and trading. If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 23, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the recording of the space.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to speak in an X space with @Farokh and RugRadio on Monday, September 16, 8:00 PM ET (see: https://x.com/farokh/status/1834386255661892069). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Retardio" during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Retardio" is part of the compound word. If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 23, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the recording of the space.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to speak in an X space with @Farokh and RugRadio on Monday, September 16, 8:00 PM ET (see: https://x.com/farokh/status/1834386255661892069). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Solana" during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Solana" is part of the compound word and references the Solana blockchain. If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 23, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the recording of the space.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to speak in an X space with @Farokh and RugRadio on Monday, September 16, 8:00 PM ET (see: https://x.com/farokh/status/1834386255661892069). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "rug" or "rugged" during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "rug" or "rugged" is part of the compound word and references a crypto scam where developers abruptly withdraw funds, abandoning a project (e.g. "rugpull" or "RugRadio" counts). If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 23, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the recording of the space.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to speak in an X space with @Farokh and RugRadio on Monday, September 16, 8:00 PM ET (see: https://x.com/farokh/status/1834386255661892069). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "DJT" during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "DJT" is part of the compound word and references the memecoin named after Donald Trump (e.g. "DJT-style" counts). If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 23, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the recording of the space.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to speak in an X space with @Farokh and RugRadio on Monday, September 16, 8:00 PM ET (see: https://x.com/farokh/status/1834386255661892069). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Barron" during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Barron" is part of the compound word and references the person Barron Trump. If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 23, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the recording of the space.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to speak in an X space with @Farokh and RugRadio on Monday, September 16, 8:00 PM ET (see: https://x.com/farokh/status/1834386255661892069). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Doge" during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Doge" is part of the compound word and references the decentralized cryptocurrency Dogecoin (e.g. "Dogecoin" counts). If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 23, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the recording of the space.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to speak in an X space with @Farokh and RugRadio on Monday, September 16, 8:00 PM ET (see: https://x.com/farokh/status/1834386255661892069). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Milady" during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Milady" is part of the compound word and references the cryptocurrency/NFT project. If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 23, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the recording of the space.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to speak in an X space with @Farokh and RugRadio on Monday, September 16, 8:00 PM ET (see: https://x.com/farokh/status/1834386255661892069). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Border" during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "border" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to belonging to a political boundary between nations. If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 23, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the recording of the space.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to speak in an X space with @Farokh and RugRadio on Monday, September 16, 8:00 PM ET (see: https://x.com/farokh/status/1834386255661892069). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Elon", "Musk", or "Elon Musk", during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 23, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the recording of the space.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to speak in an X space with @Farokh and RugRadio on Monday, September 16, 8:00 PM ET (see: https://x.com/farokh/status/1834386255661892069). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Twitter", during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Twitter" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the social media platform. If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 23, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the recording of the space.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to speak in an X space with @Farokh and RugRadio on Monday, September 16, 8:00 PM ET (see: https://x.com/farokh/status/1834386255661892069). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Comrade Kamala", during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 23, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the recording of the space.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to speak in an X space with @Farokh and RugRadio on Monday, September 16, 8:00 PM ET (see: https://x.com/farokh/status/1834386255661892069). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Slopadopoulos", during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Slopadopoulos" is part of the compound. If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 23, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the recording of the space.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to speak in an X space with @Farokh and RugRadio on Monday, September 16, 8:00 PM ET (see: https://x.com/farokh/status/1834386255661892069). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Loomer", during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Loomer" is part of the compound word and references the person Laura Loomer. If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 23, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the recording of the space.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to speak in an X space with @Farokh and RugRadio on Monday, September 16, 8:00 PM ET (see: https://x.com/farokh/status/1834386255661892069). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Secret Service", during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 23, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the recording of the space.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to speak in an X space with @Farokh and RugRadio on Monday, September 16, 8:00 PM ET (see: https://x.com/farokh/status/1834386255661892069). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Golf" or "Golfing", during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Golf" or "Golfing" is part of the compound word and references a sport involving hitting a ball into holes. If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 23, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the recording of the space.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to speak in an X space with @Farokh and RugRadio on Monday, September 16, 8:00 PM ET (see: https://x.com/farokh/status/1834386255661892069). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Routh", during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Routh" is part of the compound word and references the person Ryan Routh. If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 23, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the recording of the space.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to speak in an X space with @Farokh and RugRadio on Monday, September 16, 8:00 PM ET (see: https://x.com/farokh/status/1834386255661892069). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "AK-47", during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "AK-47" is part of the compound word and references an automatic assault rifle originally manufactured in the Soviet Union. If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 23, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the recording of the space.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to speak in an X space with @Farokh and RugRadio on Monday, September 16, 8:00 PM ET (see: https://x.com/farokh/status/1834386255661892069). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "NFT" or "Non-fungible token", during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "NFT" is part of the compound word and references non-fungible tokens. If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 23, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the recording of the space.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to speak in an X space with @Farokh and RugRadio on Monday, September 16, 8:00 PM ET (see: https://x.com/farokh/status/1834386255661892069). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "memecoin", during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "memecoin" is part of the compound word and references cryptocurrencies which are inspired by internet memes or trends. If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 23, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the recording of the space.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to speak in an X space with @Farokh and RugRadio on Monday, September 16, 8:00 PM ET (see: https://x.com/farokh/status/1834386255661892069). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "border" 10 or more times during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "border" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to belonging to a political boundary between nations. If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond September 23, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the recording of the space.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 9:25:29 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.