
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
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This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to conduct a press conference in Bedminster, New Jersey, on Thursday, August 15, 2024, at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Crypto" during his press conference currently scheduled for August 15. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the press conference is permanently canceled or delayed beyond August 22, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Crypto" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrencies (e.g. "cryptocurrency" will count toward a "Yes" resolution). The resolution source will be the live video/audio stream of the press conference.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to conduct a press conference in Bedminster, New Jersey, on Thursday, August 15, 2024, at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "tampon" during his press conference currently scheduled for August 15. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the press conference is permanently canceled or delayed beyond August 22, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "tampon" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the feminine care product. The resolution source will be the live video/audio stream of the press conference.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to conduct a press conference in Bedminster, New Jersey, on Thursday, August 15, 2024, at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "couch" during his press conference currently scheduled for August 15. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the press conference is permanently canceled or delayed beyond August 22, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "couch" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a piece of furniture primarily used for sitting on. The resolution source will be the live video/audio stream of the press conference.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to conduct a press conference in Bedminster, New Jersey, on Thursday, August 15, 2024, at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Fire" or "Fired" during his press conference currently scheduled for August 15. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the press conference is permanently canceled or delayed beyond August 22, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Fire" or "Fired" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the act of dismissing an employee. The resolution source will be the live video/audio stream of the press conference.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to conduct a press conference in Bedminster, New Jersey, on Thursday, August 15, 2024, at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his press conference currently scheduled for August 15. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the press conference is permanently canceled or delayed beyond August 22, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the intelligence exhibited by machines. The resolution source will be the live video/audio stream of the press conference.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to conduct a press conference in Bedminster, New Jersey, on Thursday, August 15, 2024, at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Bitcoin", or "BTC" during his press conference currently scheduled for August 15. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the press conference is permanently canceled or delayed beyond August 22, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Bitcoin", or "BTC" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "Bitcoin-related" counts). The resolution source will be the live video/audio stream of the press conference.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to conduct a press conference in Bedminster, New Jersey, on Thursday, August 15, 2024, at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "lisp", during his press conference currently scheduled for August 15. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the press conference is permanently canceled or delayed beyond August 22, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "lisp",is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a speech impediment. The resolution source will be the live video/audio stream of the press conference.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to conduct a press conference in Bedminster, New Jersey, on Thursday, August 15, 2024, at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Elon" or "Musk", during his press conference currently scheduled for August 15. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the press conference is permanently canceled or delayed beyond August 22, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Elon" or "Musk" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Elon Musk. The resolution source will be the live video/audio stream of the press conference.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to conduct a press conference in Bedminster, New Jersey, on Thursday, August 15, 2024, at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "China" during his press conference currently scheduled for August 15. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the press conference is permanently canceled or delayed beyond August 22, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "China" is part of the compound word and references the large East Asian country named the People's Republic of China. The resolution source will be the live video/audio stream of the press conference.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to conduct a press conference in Bedminster, New Jersey, on Thursday, August 15, 2024, at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Debate" during his press conference currently scheduled for August 15. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the press conference is permanently canceled or delayed beyond August 22, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Debate" is part of the compound word and references a public discussion between competing political candidates. The resolution source will be the live video/audio stream of the press conference.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to conduct a press conference in Bedminster, New Jersey, on Thursday, August 15, 2024, at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during his press conference currently scheduled for August 15. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the press conference is permanently canceled or delayed beyond August 22, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "MAGA" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to making America great again (e.g. "MAGA-themed" counts). The resolution source will be the live video/audio stream of the press conference.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to conduct a press conference in Bedminster, New Jersey, on Thursday, August 15, 2024, at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his press conference currently scheduled for August 15. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the press conference is permanently canceled or delayed beyond August 22, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. The resolution source will be the live video/audio stream of the press conference.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump is scheduled to conduct a press conference in Bedminster, New Jersey, on Thursday, August 15, 2024, at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "fake news" during his press conference currently scheduled for August 15. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the press conference is permanently canceled or delayed beyond August 22, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. The resolution source will be the live video/audio stream of the press conference.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 7:53:09 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.