
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "border" 20 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "border" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a political boundary between nations. If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "tax" 10 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "tax" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a compulsory financial charge imposed by a government authority. If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "China" 5 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "China" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the East Asian country officially titled the People's Republic of China. If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Russia" 5 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Russia" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the European/Asian country officially named the Russian Federation. If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "trans" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "trans" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a person whose gender identity does not correspond with the sex registered for them at birth (e.g. "transgender" counts). If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "trans" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "tampon" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the feminine hygiene product. If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "crypto" or "Bitcoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrency-related" counts). If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "weave" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "weave" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to Donald Trump's manner of speech. If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "McDonald's" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "McDonald's" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the international fast food chain. If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Dark MAGA" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Melania" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Melania" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to Donald Trump's wife. If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Epstein" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Epstein" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to disgraced ex-financier Jeffrey Epstein. If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "alien" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "alien" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to illegal immigrants or life of extraterrestrial origin. If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "weed" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "weed" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to marijuana or THC, or marijuana/THC products. If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "cold plunge" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "FBI" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "FBI" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the US Federal Bureau of Investigation. If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "vaccine" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "vaccine" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a substance used to stimulate immunity to a particular infectious disease or pathogen, typically prepared from an inactivated or weakened form of the causative agent or from its constituents or products. If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Pocahontas" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Pocahontas" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to either the Powhatan woman who married John Rolfe, or American politician Elizabeth Warren. If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "FEMA" or "Federal Emergency Management Agency" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "FEMA" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the US Federal Emergency Management Agency. If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Women's sports", "Woman's sports" or "Women sports" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Dana" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Dana" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Dana White. If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "fake news" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Kennedy", "RFK", or "JFK" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Kennedy", "RFK", or "JFK", is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the famous American political family or one of its members. If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Elon" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Elon" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to billionaire CEO of Tesla Elon Musk. If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Hitler" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Hitler" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to Nazi ex-Führer of Germany Adolph Hitler. If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.
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