
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
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This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "McDonald's" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "McDonald's" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the international fast food chain. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "God" 4 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "god" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a superhuman being or spirit worshiped as having power over nature or human fortunes; a deity. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "crypto" or "Bitcoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrency-related" counts). If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "doge" or "Dogecoin" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "doge" or "dogecoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the cryptocurrency known as DOGE or Dogecoin. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Kamala" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Kamala" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to US Vice President Kamala Harris. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "rig" or "rigged" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "rig" or "rigged" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to managing or conducting (something) fraudulently so as to produce a result or situation that is advantageous to a particular person. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate doesn't appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "trans" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "trans" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a person whose gender identity does not correspond with the sex registered for them at birth (e.g. "transgender" counts). If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "drill baby drill" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "MAGA" or "make America great again" 4 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "MAGA" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to making America great again. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "border" 5 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "border" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a political boundary between nations. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "America" 15 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "America" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the United States of America. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "carnage" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "carnage" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to great and usually bloody slaughter or injury. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "America first" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "middle class" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Elon" or "Musk" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Elon" or "Musk" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Elon Musk. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Biden" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Biden" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Joe Biden or a member of his family. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "ceasefire" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "ceasefire" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the cessation of fighting between parties in a military conflict. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "hell" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "hell" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a location in the afterlife where wicked souls go to be punished. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "J6", "Jan 6", or "January 6" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "mandate" 3 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "mandate" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the authority to carry out a policy, regarded as given by the electorate to a party or candidate that wins an election. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Los Angeles" or "LA" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "LA" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the city in California. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "AI" or "artificial intelligence" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "AI" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to Artificial Intelligence. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksDonald Trump's inaugural address is scheduled to take place on January 20, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "TikTok" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "TikTok" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the social media app. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond February 3, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
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