
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "border" 20 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "border" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a political boundary between nations. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "border" 30 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "border" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a political boundary between nations. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "tax" 30 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "tax" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a compulsory financial charge imposed by a government authority. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Kamala" 30 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Kamala" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to US vice president Kamala Harris. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "China" 10 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "China" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the East Asian country officially named the People's Republic of China. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Sleepy Joe" or "Crooked Joe" 5 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "fracking" 3 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "frack" or "fracking" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the method of extracting fossil fuels. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "North Carolina" 3 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "North Carolina" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the US state of North Carolina. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "hurricane" 3 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "hurricane" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a storm with a violent wind, in particular a tropical cyclone in the Caribbean. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "green new scam" 3 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "god" 2 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "god" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a superhuman being or spirit worshiped as having power over nature or human fortunes; a deity. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "trans" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "trans" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a person whose gender identity does not correspond with the sex registered for them at birth (e.g. "transgender" counts). If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "drill baby drill" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "missile defense shield" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "FEMA" or "Federal Emergency Management Agency" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "FEMA" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the Federal Emergency Management Agency. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "too big to rig" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Barack Hussein Obama" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "crypto" or "Bitcoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrency-related" counts). If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Reagan" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Reagan" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to former US president Ronald Reagan. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "death tax" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Vance" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Vance" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to US vice presidential candidate JD Vance. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 11 in Aurora, Colorado (see:https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-deliver-remarks-in-aurora-colorado). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Hillary" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Hillary" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to former US presidential candidate Hillary Clinton. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 11, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
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