
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled an all female town hall event, moderated by Fox News' Harris Faulkner, which will take place Oct. 15 and air Oct. 16, starting at 11am ET on "The Faulkner Focus." (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/11/trump-fox-news-town-hall-women-voters). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "border" 20 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "border" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a political boundary between nations. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or does not air by October 18, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled an all female town hall event, moderated by Fox News' Harris Faulkner, which will take place Oct. 15 and air Oct. 16, starting at 11am ET on "The Faulkner Focus." (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/11/trump-fox-news-town-hall-women-voters). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "abortion" 10 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "abortion" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the termination of a pregnancy. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or does not air by October 18, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled an all female town hall event, moderated by Fox News' Harris Faulkner, which will take place Oct. 15 and air Oct. 16, starting at 11am ET on "The Faulkner Focus." (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/11/trump-fox-news-town-hall-women-voters). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Women love me" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or does not air by October 18, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled an all female town hall event, moderated by Fox News' Harris Faulkner, which will take place Oct. 15 and air Oct. 16, starting at 11am ET on "The Faulkner Focus." (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/11/trump-fox-news-town-hall-women-voters). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Women's sports" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or does not air by October 18, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled an all female town hall event, moderated by Fox News' Harris Faulkner, which will take place Oct. 15 and air Oct. 16, starting at 11am ET on "The Faulkner Focus." (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/11/trump-fox-news-town-hall-women-voters). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "parental rights" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or does not air by October 18, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled an all female town hall event, moderated by Fox News' Harris Faulkner, which will take place Oct. 15 and air Oct. 16, starting at 11am ET on "The Faulkner Focus." (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/11/trump-fox-news-town-hall-women-voters). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "tampon" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "tampon" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the feminine hygiene product. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or does not air by October 18, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled an all female town hall event, moderated by Fox News' Harris Faulkner, which will take place Oct. 15 and air Oct. 16, starting at 11am ET on "The Faulkner Focus." (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/11/trump-fox-news-town-hall-women-voters). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Melania" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Melania" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Melania Trump. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or does not air by October 18, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled an all female town hall event, moderated by Fox News' Harris Faulkner, which will take place Oct. 15 and air Oct. 16, starting at 11am ET on "The Faulkner Focus." (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/11/trump-fox-news-town-hall-women-voters). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "JD" or "Vance" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "JD" or "Vance" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person JD Vance. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or does not air by October 18, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled an all female town hall event, moderated by Fox News' Harris Faulkner, which will take place Oct. 15 and air Oct. 16, starting at 11am ET on "The Faulkner Focus." (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/11/trump-fox-news-town-hall-women-voters). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "execute" or "execution" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "execute" or "execution" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the act of carrying out a death sentence. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or does not air by October 18, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled an all female town hall event, moderated by Fox News' Harris Faulkner, which will take place Oct. 15 and air Oct. 16, starting at 11am ET on "The Faulkner Focus." (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/11/trump-fox-news-town-hall-women-voters). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "ninth month" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or does not air by October 18, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled an all female town hall event, moderated by Fox News' Harris Faulkner, which will take place Oct. 15 and air Oct. 16, starting at 11am ET on "The Faulkner Focus." (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/11/trump-fox-news-town-hall-women-voters). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Roe v. Wade" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or does not air by October 18, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled an all female town hall event, moderated by Fox News' Harris Faulkner, which will take place Oct. 15 and air Oct. 16, starting at 11am ET on "The Faulkner Focus." (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/11/trump-fox-news-town-hall-women-voters). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Taylor Swift" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or does not air by October 18, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled an all female town hall event, moderated by Fox News' Harris Faulkner, which will take place Oct. 15 and air Oct. 16, starting at 11am ET on "The Faulkner Focus." (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/11/trump-fox-news-town-hall-women-voters). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "abortion" 5 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "abortion" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the termination of a pregnancy. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or does not air by October 18, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled an all female town hall event, moderated by Fox News' Harris Faulkner, which will take place Oct. 15 and air Oct. 16, starting at 11am ET on "The Faulkner Focus." (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/11/trump-fox-news-town-hall-women-voters). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Black women" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or does not air by October 18, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled an all female town hall event, moderated by Fox News' Harris Faulkner, which will take place Oct. 15 and air Oct. 16, starting at 11am ET on "The Faulkner Focus." (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/11/trump-fox-news-town-hall-women-voters). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Laken Riley" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or does not air by October 18, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled an all female town hall event, moderated by Fox News' Harris Faulkner, which will take place Oct. 15 and air Oct. 16, starting at 11am ET on "The Faulkner Focus." (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/11/trump-fox-news-town-hall-women-voters). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Kamala" 20 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Kamala" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Kamala Harris. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or does not air by October 18, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageDonald Trump has scheduled an all female town hall event, moderated by Fox News' Harris Faulkner, which will take place Oct. 15 and air Oct. 16, starting at 11am ET on "The Faulkner Focus." (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/10/11/trump-fox-news-town-hall-women-voters). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "Roe" or "Wade" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Roe" or "Wade" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the 'Roe v. Wade' case, or the Jane Roe or Henry Wade directly involved in that case. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or does not air by October 18, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the event.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 5:06:21 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.