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What will Trump say during Albuquerque, NM rally?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$442.9K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCOct 31, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
17 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Border 20+ timesClosedMarket odds100%
Will Trump say "Border" 20 or more times during New Mexico rally on October 31?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Oct 31, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.8¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
Donald Trump has scheduled a rally on October 31 in Albuquerque, New Mexico (see: https://event.donaldjtrump.com/events/president-donald-j-trump-to-hold-a-rally-in-albuquerque-new-mexico). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "border" 20 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "border" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a political boundary between nations. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 31, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.