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What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on December 31?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
View a sample AI report This event is outside current AI coverage.
24h volume$2.6K
Total volume$3.4K
Liquidity$1K
Event end date · UTCJan 11, 2027
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
7 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
<$503KAccepting ordersMarket odds15%
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $503,000 on December 31?
Yes15%Polymarket estimate
No85%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $107.8
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 11, 2027
- Yes bid / ask
- 5.0¢ / 25.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
AI research not covered
This market has limited available liquidity.
Check AI research coverageResolution rules
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Washington, D.C. Metro area on December 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Washington, D.C. Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900475). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1800 square feet, which is the median home size in the Washington, D.C. Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/61)