
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksOn August 21, RFK Jr.'s campaign announced that the candidate will address the nation on Friday, August 23, 2024. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/RobertKennedyJr/status/1826351609385025708 This market will resolve to "Yes" if RFK Jr. says "endorse" or "endorsement" during the specified address. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the specified address is cancelled, or otherwise does not start by August 23, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "endorse" or "endorsement" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to declaring one's public approval or support of. The resolution source will be the video of the address.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksOn August 21, RFK Jr.'s campaign announced that the candidate will address the nation on Friday, August 23, 2024. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/RobertKennedyJr/status/1826351609385025708 This market will resolve to "Yes" if RFK Jr. says "Third Party" during the specified address. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the specified address is cancelled, or otherwise does not start by August 23, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. The resolution source will be the video of the address.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksOn August 21, RFK Jr.'s campaign announced that the candidate will address the nation on Friday, August 23, 2024. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/RobertKennedyJr/status/1826351609385025708 This market will resolve to "Yes" if RFK Jr. says "CIA" or "Central Intelligence Agency" during the specified address. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the specified address is cancelled, or otherwise does not start by August 23, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "CIA" or is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the Central Intelligence Agency of the United States of America. The resolution source will be the video of the address.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksOn August 21, RFK Jr.'s campaign announced that the candidate will address the nation on Friday, August 23, 2024. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/RobertKennedyJr/status/1826351609385025708 This market will resolve to "Yes" if RFK Jr. says "debate" during the specified address. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the specified address is cancelled, or otherwise does not start by August 23, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "debate" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a formal discussion on a particular topic in a public meeting or legislative assembly, in which opposing arguments are put forward. The resolution source will be the video of the address.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksOn August 21, RFK Jr.'s campaign announced that the candidate will address the nation on Friday, August 23, 2024. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/RobertKennedyJr/status/1826351609385025708 This market will resolve to "Yes" if RFK Jr. says "FDA" or "Food and Drug Administration" during the specified address. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the specified address is cancelled, or otherwise does not start by August 23, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "FDA" or is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the Food and Drug Administration of the United States of America. The resolution source will be the video of the address.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksOn August 21, RFK Jr.'s campaign announced that the candidate will address the nation on Friday, August 23, 2024. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/RobertKennedyJr/status/1826351609385025708 This market will resolve to "Yes" if RFK Jr. says "Donald" or "Trump" during the specified address. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the specified address is cancelled, or otherwise does not start by August 23, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Donald" or "Trump" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to former US President Donald Trump. The resolution source will be the video of the address.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksOn August 21, RFK Jr.'s campaign announced that the candidate will address the nation on Friday, August 23, 2024. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/RobertKennedyJr/status/1826351609385025708 This market will resolve to "Yes" if RFK Jr. says "Kamala" or "Harris" during the specified address. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the specified address is cancelled, or otherwise does not start by August 23, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Kamala" or "Harris" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to US Vice President Kamala Harris. The resolution source will be the video of the address.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksOn August 21, RFK Jr.'s campaign announced that the candidate will address the nation on Friday, August 23, 2024. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/RobertKennedyJr/status/1826351609385025708 This market will resolve to "Yes" if RFK Jr. says "corrupt" or "corruption" during the specified address. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the specified address is cancelled, or otherwise does not start by August 23, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "corrupt" or "corruption" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to something characterized by improper conduct (such as bribery or the selling of favors). The resolution source will be the video of the address.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksOn August 21, RFK Jr.'s campaign announced that the candidate will address the nation on Friday, August 23, 2024. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/RobertKennedyJr/status/1826351609385025708 This market will resolve to "Yes" if RFK Jr. says "climate change" during the specified address. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the specified address is cancelled, or otherwise does not start by August 23, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. The resolution source will be the video of the address.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksOn August 21, RFK Jr.'s campaign announced that the candidate will address the nation on Friday, August 23, 2024. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/RobertKennedyJr/status/1826351609385025708 This market will resolve to "Yes" if RFK Jr. says "brain worm" during the specified address. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the specified address is cancelled, or otherwise does not start by August 23, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. The resolution source will be the video of the address.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksOn August 21, RFK Jr.'s campaign announced that the candidate will address the nation on Friday, August 23, 2024. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/RobertKennedyJr/status/1826351609385025708 This market will resolve to "Yes" if RFK Jr. says "parasite" during the specified address. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the specified address is cancelled, or otherwise does not start by August 23, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "parasite" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to an organism living in, on, or with another organism in order to obtain nutrients, grow, or multiply often in a state that directly or indirectly harms the host. The resolution source will be the video of the address.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksOn August 21, RFK Jr.'s campaign announced that the candidate will address the nation on Friday, August 23, 2024. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/RobertKennedyJr/status/1826351609385025708 This market will resolve to "Yes" if RFK Jr. says "bear" during the specified address. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the specified address is cancelled, or otherwise does not start by August 23, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "bear" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the large mammal. The resolution source will be the video of the address.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksOn August 21, RFK Jr.'s campaign announced that the candidate will address the nation on Friday, August 23, 2024. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/RobertKennedyJr/status/1826351609385025708 This market will resolve to "Yes" if RFK Jr. says "vaccine" during the specified address. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the specified address is cancelled, or otherwise does not start by August 23, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "vaccine" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a preparation administered (as by injection) to stimulate the body's immune response against a specific infectious agent or disease. The resolution source will be the video of the address.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksOn August 21, RFK Jr.'s campaign announced that the candidate will address the nation on Friday, August 23, 2024. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/RobertKennedyJr/status/1826351609385025708 This market will resolve to "Yes" if RFK Jr. says "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the specified address. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the specified address is cancelled, or otherwise does not start by August 23, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "crypto" or "Bitcoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrency-related" counts). The resolution source will be the video of the address.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksOn August 21, RFK Jr.'s campaign announced that the candidate will address the nation on Friday, August 23, 2024. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/RobertKennedyJr/status/1826351609385025708 This market will resolve to "Yes" if RFK Jr. says "woke" during the specified address. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the specified address is cancelled, or otherwise does not start by August 23, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "woke" is part of the compound word and references leftist ideology which tends to focus on social justice. The resolution source will be the video of the address.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 10:10:29 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.