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What will Powell say during Framework Review speech on May 15?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
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24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$50.6K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCMay 15, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
19 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Inflation 40+ timesClosedMarket odds0%
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during Framework Review speech on May 15?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- May 15, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
Jerome Powell is currently scheduled to give a Framework Review speech on May 15, 2025, at 8:40 AM ET. This market pertains to his scheduled speech as well any appended Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Powell says the listed term during his scheduled Framework Review speech. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Powell's Framework Review speech scheduled for May 15, 2025, 8:40 AM ET (https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/calendar.htm). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of this event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If no such speech happens by May 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the speech.