
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
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This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksPete Buttigieg is scheduled to speak at the DNC Wednesday August 21. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pete Buttigieg says "manufacturing" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Buttigieg does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "manufacturing" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to making something on a large scale using machinery. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksPete Buttigieg is scheduled to speak at the DNC Wednesday August 21. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pete Buttigieg says "infrastructure" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Buttigieg does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "infrastructure" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to basic physical and organizational structures and facilities. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksPete Buttigieg is scheduled to speak at the DNC Wednesday August 21. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pete Buttigieg says "inflation" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Buttigieg does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "inflation" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a general increase in prices and fall in the purchasing value of money. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksPete Buttigieg is scheduled to speak at the DNC Wednesday August 21. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pete Buttigieg says "delta" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Buttigieg does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Delta" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to Delta Airlines. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksPete Buttigieg is scheduled to speak at the DNC Wednesday August 21. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pete Buttigieg says "couch" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Buttigieg does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "couch" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a piece of furniture primarily used for sitting on. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksPete Buttigieg is scheduled to speak at the DNC Wednesday August 21. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pete Buttigieg says "antisemitism" or "antisemitic" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Buttigieg does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "antisemitism" or "antisemitic" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to hostility or prejudice against Jewish people. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksPete Buttigieg is scheduled to speak at the DNC Wednesday August 21. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pete Buttigieg says "ceasefire" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Buttigieg does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "ceasefire" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the suspension of fighting in a military conflict. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksPete Buttigieg is scheduled to speak at the DNC Wednesday August 21. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pete Buttigieg says "weird" or "weirdo" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Buttigieg does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "weird "or "weirdo" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a person who behaves unusually or oddly. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksPete Buttigieg is scheduled to speak at the DNC Wednesday August 21. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pete Buttigieg says "climate change" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Buttigieg does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksPete Buttigieg is scheduled to speak at the DNC Wednesday August 21. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pete Buttigieg says "gay" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Buttigieg does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "gay" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to same-sex sexual attraction. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksPete Buttigieg is scheduled to speak at the DNC Wednesday August 21. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pete Buttigieg says "trans" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Buttigieg does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "trans" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a person whose gender identity does not correspond with the sex registered for them at birth. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksPete Buttigieg is scheduled to speak at the DNC Wednesday August 21. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pete Buttigieg says "mayor" 2 or more times during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Buttigieg does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "mayor" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the elected head of a city, town, or other municipality. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksPete Buttigieg is scheduled to speak at the DNC Wednesday August 21. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pete Buttigieg says "marriage" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Buttigieg does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "marriage" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the state of being united as spouses in a consensual and contractual relationship recognized by law. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksPete Buttigieg is scheduled to speak at the DNC Wednesday August 21. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pete Buttigieg says "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Buttigieg does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "crypto" or "Bitcoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrency-related" counts). The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 3:55:36 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.