
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
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This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksBarack Obama is scheduled to speak at the DNC Tuesday August 20. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Obama says "Pelosi" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Obama does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Pelosi" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Nancy Pelosi. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksBarack Obama is scheduled to speak at the DNC Tuesday August 20. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Obama says "hope" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Obama does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "hope" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of expectation and desire for a specific outcome. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksBarack Obama is scheduled to speak at the DNC Tuesday August 20. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Obama says "black" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Obama does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "black" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a person's race. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksBarack Obama is scheduled to speak at the DNC Tuesday August 20. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Obama says "Michelle" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Obama does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Michelle" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Michelle Obama. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksBarack Obama is scheduled to speak at the DNC Tuesday August 20. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Obama says "Obamacare", "ACA" or "Affordable Care Act" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Obama does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Obamacare" or "ACA" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the Affordable Care Act. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksBarack Obama is scheduled to speak at the DNC Tuesday August 20. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Obama says "Yes we can" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Obama does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksBarack Obama is scheduled to speak at the DNC Tuesday August 20. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Obama says "democracy" three or more times during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Obama does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "democracy" is part of the compound word which refers to a system of government in which citizens chose their leaders. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksBarack Obama is scheduled to speak at the DNC Tuesday August 20. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Obama says "Joe" or "Biden" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Obama does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Joe" or "Biden" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Joe Biden. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksBarack Obama is scheduled to speak at the DNC Tuesday August 20. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Obama says "Underdog" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Obama does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Underdog" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a competitor expected to lose. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksBarack Obama is scheduled to speak at the DNC Tuesday August 20. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Obama says "Donald" or "Trump" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Obama does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Donald" or "Trump" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Donald Trump. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksBarack Obama is scheduled to speak at the DNC Tuesday August 20. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Obama says "Muslim" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Obama does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Muslim" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a person who practices Islam. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksBarack Obama is scheduled to speak at the DNC Tuesday August 20. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Obama says "Climate change" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Obama does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksBarack Obama is scheduled to speak at the DNC Tuesday August 20. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Obama says "thank you" seven or more times during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Obama does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 11:03:11 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.