
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksKamala Harris has scheduled a rally on October 29 in Washington DC. (see: https://events.democrats.org/event/734570/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "Hitler" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Hitler" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to Nazi ex-Führer of Germany Adolph Hitler. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 29, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksKamala Harris has scheduled a rally on October 29 in Washington DC. (see: https://events.democrats.org/event/734570/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "coup" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "coup" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a sudden, violent, and unlawful seizure of power from a government. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 29, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksKamala Harris has scheduled a rally on October 29 in Washington DC. (see: https://events.democrats.org/event/734570/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "insurrection" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "insurrection" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a violent uprising against an authority or government. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 29, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksKamala Harris has scheduled a rally on October 29 in Washington DC. (see: https://events.democrats.org/event/734570/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "Trump" 20 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Trump" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to former US president Donald Trump. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 29, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksKamala Harris has scheduled a rally on October 29 in Washington DC. (see: https://events.democrats.org/event/734570/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "Biden" 5 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Biden" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to US president Joe Biden. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 29, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksKamala Harris has scheduled a rally on October 29 in Washington DC. (see: https://events.democrats.org/event/734570/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "Putin" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Putin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to Russian president Vladimir Putin. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 29, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksKamala Harris has scheduled a rally on October 29 in Washington DC. (see: https://events.democrats.org/event/734570/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "middle class" 5 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 29, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksKamala Harris has scheduled a rally on October 29 in Washington DC. (see: https://events.democrats.org/event/734570/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "god" 3 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "god" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a superhuman being or spirit worshiped as having power over nature or human fortunes; a deity. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 29, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksKamala Harris has scheduled a rally on October 29 in Washington DC. (see: https://events.democrats.org/event/734570/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "fascist" or "fascism" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "fascist" or "fascism" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a tendency toward or actual exercise of strong autocratic or dictatorial control. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 29, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksKamala Harris has scheduled a rally on October 29 in Washington DC. (see: https://events.democrats.org/event/734570/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "Puerto Rico" or "Puerto Rican" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Puerto Rico" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the US territory. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 29, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksKamala Harris has scheduled a rally on October 29 in Washington DC. (see: https://events.democrats.org/event/734570/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "abortion ban" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 29, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksKamala Harris has scheduled a rally on October 29 in Washington DC. (see: https://events.democrats.org/event/734570/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "Madison Square Garden" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 29, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksKamala Harris has scheduled a rally on October 29 in Washington DC. (see: https://events.democrats.org/event/734570/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "Project 2025" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 29, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksKamala Harris has scheduled a rally on October 29 in Washington DC. (see: https://events.democrats.org/event/734570/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "McDonald's" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "McDonald's" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the international fast food chain. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 29, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksKamala Harris has scheduled a rally on October 29 in Washington DC. (see: https://events.democrats.org/event/734570/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "joyful" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "joyful" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to feeling, expressing, or causing great pleasure and happiness. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 29, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksKamala Harris has scheduled a rally on October 29 in Washington DC. (see: https://events.democrats.org/event/734570/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "Coach Walz" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 29, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksKamala Harris has scheduled a rally on October 29 in Washington DC. (see: https://events.democrats.org/event/734570/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "Jan 6", "January 6" or "J6" 5 or more times during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 29, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksKamala Harris has scheduled a rally on October 29 in Washington DC. (see: https://events.democrats.org/event/734570/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "crypto" or "Bitcoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrency-related" counts). If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond October 29, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 4:57:00 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.