
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
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This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "inflation" 3 or more times during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "inflation" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to increases in costs of goods and services. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "couch" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "couch" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a piece of furniture primarily used for sitting on. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "coconut" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "coconut" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a tropical fruit. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "context" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "context" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the background information that gives meaning to a situation. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "weird "or "weirdo" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "weird "or "weirdo" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a person who behaves unusually or oddly. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "crypto" or "Bitcoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrency-related" counts). The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "abortion" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Abortion" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the termination of a pregnancy. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "Ukraine" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Ukraine" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the Eastern European country. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "China" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Ukraine" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the East Asian country. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "Palestine" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count (i.e. "Palestinian" would not count). Compound words will count as long as "Palestine" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a territory in the Middle East. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "Jew" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count (i.e. "Jewish" would not count"). Compound words will count as long as "Jew" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a person who practices Judaism. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "unburdened" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "unburdened" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to something that has no weight, load, or burden. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "Venn diagram" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "Price control" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "Project 2025" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "Not going back" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the phrase regardless of context of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the phrase will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "Joe" or "Biden" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as ""Joe" or "Biden" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Joe Biden. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "Obama" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Obama" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a member of the Obama family (Barrack, Michele, etc.). The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "McDonald's" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "McDonald's" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to fast food chain The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "hope" 3 or more times during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "inflation" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of optimism and expectation. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "joy" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "joy" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a feeling of great pleasure and happiness. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "Monkeypox" or "Mpox" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Monkeypox" or "Mpox" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the disease. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "ceasefire" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "ceasefire" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a temporary suspension of armed conflict. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "Donald" or "Trump" 5 or more times during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Donald" or "Trump" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the person Donald Trump. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "Oakland" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Oakland" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the city on the east side of San Francisco Bay, in California. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "antisemitism" or "antisemitic" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "antisemitism" or "antisemitic" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to hostility or prejudice against Jewish people. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "America" 5 or more times during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "America" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the United States of America. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "woman" 3 or more times during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "woman" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to a person belonging to the feminine gender. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says "inflation" during her DNC keynote speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Kamala Harris does not give a keynote speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "inflation" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to increases in costs of goods and services. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
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