What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?

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Will John Ternus say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 10+ times during his Apple Keynote?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Sep 9, 2026
Yes bid / ask: — / 94.0¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

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Will John Ternus say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during his Apple Keynote?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Sep 9, 2026
Yes bid / ask: — / 97.0¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

John Ternus is scheduled to participate in Apple's "Surprise and Shine" event on September 9, 2026, 1 PM ET (https://www.apple.com/apple-events/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if John Ternus says the listed term at any point during the event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If John Ternus does not speak during the event, the event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Will John Ternus say "Fold" or "Folding" or "Foldable" 10+ times during his Apple Keynote?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Sep 9, 2026
Yes bid / ask: — / 94.9¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

What will John Ternus say during his Apple Keynote?

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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Outcomes & resolution rules

Will John Ternus say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 10+ times during his Apple Keynote?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will John Ternus say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during his Apple Keynote?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will John Ternus say "Fold" or "Folding" or "Foldable" 10+ times during his Apple Keynote?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will John Ternus say "One More Thing" 3+ times during his Apple Keynote?

Closed market · historical data

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Will John Ternus say "Battery Life" 3+ times during his Apple Keynote?

Closed market · historical data

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Will John Ternus say "Steve Jobs" during his Apple Keynote?

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Will John Ternus say "Flexible" during his Apple Keynote?

Closed market · historical data

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Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote?

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Will John Ternus say "Chip" during his Apple Keynote?

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Will John Ternus say "Aluminum" during his Apple Keynote?

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Will John Ternus say "Apple TV" during his Apple Keynote?

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Will John Ternus say "AirPods Pro" during his Apple Keynote?

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Will John Ternus say "Afford" or "Affordable" during his Apple Keynote?

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Will John Ternus say "Apple Intelligence" during his Apple Keynote?

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Will John Ternus say "AirTag" during his Apple Keynote?

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Will John Ternus not speak during the event, or the event not air?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules