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What will Biden say during State of the Union?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
View a sample AI report This event is outside current AI coverage.
24h volume$0
Total volume$76.5K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCMar 7, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
13 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
TrumpClosedMarket odds0%
Will Biden say "Trump" during his State of the Union address?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Mar 6, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
AI research not covered
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageResolution rules
Note: Be aware that State of the Union prepared remarks are oftentimes released before the speech starts. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "Trump" or "trump" during his State of the Union address, scheduled to take place on March 7, 2024. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." This market's primary resolution source is live video of the SOTU available here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nFVUPAEF-sw. Only in the event of ambiguity may the official transcript and other credible sources be considered. Pluralization/possessive of the words will count toward the resolution of this market. Any mention of the listed word, regardless of the context of its usage, will count towards the resolution of this market. E.g. if Biden says "I have a trump card up my sleeve" this market will resolve to "Yes." If the State of the Union does not take place by March 8, 2024 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".