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What will Biden say during DNC speech?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$865.2K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCAug 19, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
16 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ResignClosedMarket odds0%
Will Biden say "Resign" at DNC speech?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Aug 19, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
Joe Biden is scheduled to speak at the DNC Monday August 19. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "resign" during his main DNC speech. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If Biden does not give a speech at the DNC this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count (e.g. "resignation" will not count). Compound words will count as long as "resign" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the voluntary leaving of a job. The resolution source will be the video of the speech.