
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageOpenAI is scheduled to give a livestream on August 7, at 1 PM ET. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/1953139020231569685 This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not released by August 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the appearance.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageOpenAI is scheduled to give a livestream on August 7, at 1 PM ET. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/1953139020231569685 This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not released by August 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the appearance.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageOpenAI is scheduled to give a livestream on August 7, at 1 PM ET. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/1953139020231569685 This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not released by August 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the appearance.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageOpenAI is scheduled to give a livestream on August 7, at 1 PM ET. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/1953139020231569685 This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not released by August 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the appearance.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageOpenAI is scheduled to give a livestream on August 7, at 1 PM ET. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/1953139020231569685 This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not released by August 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the appearance.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageOpenAI is scheduled to give a livestream on August 7, at 1 PM ET. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/1953139020231569685 This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not released by August 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the appearance.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageOpenAI is scheduled to give a livestream on August 7, at 1 PM ET. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/1953139020231569685 This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not released by August 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the appearance.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageOpenAI is scheduled to give a livestream on August 7, at 1 PM ET. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/1953139020231569685 This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not released by August 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the appearance.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageOpenAI is scheduled to give a livestream on August 7, at 1 PM ET. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/1953139020231569685 This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not released by August 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the appearance.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageOpenAI is scheduled to give a livestream on August 7, at 1 PM ET. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/1953139020231569685 This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not released by August 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the appearance.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageOpenAI is scheduled to give a livestream on August 7, at 1 PM ET. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/1953139020231569685 This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not released by August 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the appearance.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageOpenAI is scheduled to give a livestream on August 7, at 1 PM ET. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/1953139020231569685 This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not released by August 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the appearance.
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageOpenAI is scheduled to give a livestream on August 7, at 1 PM ET. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/OpenAI/status/1953139020231569685 This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone says the listed term during this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not released by August 7, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the appearance.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 7:11:21 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.