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What will be said during Alex Honnold's Taipei 101 climb?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$62.2K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJan 23, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
16 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Free Solo 5+ timesClosedMarket odds100%
Will "Free Solo" be said 5+ times during the Taipei 101 climb?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 23, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
Alex Honnold's climb of Taipei 101 is scheduled to air on Netflix on January 23, 2026, 8PM ET. You can read more about that here: https://www.netflix.com/tudum/articles/how-to-watch-alex-honnold-skyscraper-climb-live-netflix This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed term is mentioned by anyone during the scheduled stream of Skyscraper Live on Netflix. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If prerecorded clips are aired where people are speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will count toward this market's resolution. Any usage of the term, regardless of context, will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). Any qualifying mention must be audibly, intelligibly and fully stated. Any term which cannot be heard in its entirety will not qualify. Only the official Netflix broadcast of the event will count towards the resolution of this market. If no such stream is aired by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and audio of the event.