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What day will the Lighter airdrop be? (2026)
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$974K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
12 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Before January 1ClosedMarket odds100%
Lighter Airdrop before January 1?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 1, 2027
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve according to the next date, in ET, on which Lighter performs an airdrop on. If Lighter launches a memecoin and performs an airdrop of that token within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Airdrops of NFTs will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is on-chain information and official information from Lighter, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.