
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press declares a winner in the 2024 US Presidential election on November 5, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP declares a winner before this market's timeframe, it will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press declares a winner in the 2024 US Presidential election on November 6, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP declares a winner before this market's timeframe, it will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press declares a winner in the 2024 US Presidential election on November 7, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP declares a winner before this market's timeframe, it will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press declares a winner in the 2024 US Presidential election on November 8, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP declares a winner before this market's timeframe, it will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press declares a winner in the 2024 US Presidential election on November 9, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP declares a winner before this market's timeframe, it will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press declares a winner in the 2024 US Presidential election on November 10, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP declares a winner before this market's timeframe, it will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press declares a winner in the 2024 US Presidential election on November 11, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP declares a winner before this market's timeframe, it will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press declares a winner in the 2024 US Presidential election on November 12, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP declares a winner before this market's timeframe, it will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press declares a winner in the 2024 US Presidential election on November 13, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP declares a winner before this market's timeframe, it will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press declares a winner in the 2024 US Presidential election on November 14, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP declares a winner before this market's timeframe, it will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press declares a winner in the 2024 US Presidential election on November 15, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP declares a winner before this market's timeframe, it will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press declares a winner in the 2024 US Presidential election on November 16, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP declares a winner before this market's timeframe, it will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press declares a winner in the 2024 US Presidential election on November 17, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP declares a winner before this market's timeframe, it will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press declares a winner in the 2024 US Presidential election on November 18, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP declares a winner before this market's timeframe, it will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press declares a winner in the 2024 US Presidential election on November 19, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP declares a winner before this market's timeframe, it will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press declares a winner in the 2024 US Presidential election on November 20, 2024 ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP declares a winner before this market's timeframe, it will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Associated Press has not declared a winner in the 2024 US Presidential election by November 21, 2024, 12:00 AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP declares a winner before this market's timeframe, it will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 3:30:57 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.