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What category will Storm Melissa reach?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$19.1K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCNov 30, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
5 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
1ClosedMarket odds100%
Will Melissa become a category 1 hurricane?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 30, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system named in the title reaches the category designation specified at any point according to official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/). If this system dissipates without attaining the specified category, this market will resolve to "No". You can find definitional wind speeds for each category here: https://www.weather.gov/mfl/saffirsimpson This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" based on any initial advisory released by the NHC that the named tropical system has become a specified category of hurricane, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.