Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access? | Foretrace

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Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$782.7

Liquidity$21.7K

Event end date · UTCNov 4, 2026

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Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

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Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

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Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?Accepting ordersMarket odds41%

Washington passes ballot measure restricting transgender school sports access?

Yes41%Polymarket estimate

No59%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $21.7K
Deadline · UTC: Nov 4, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 40.0¢ / 42.0¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

Washington ballot initiative IL26-638 is a ballot measure scheduled to appear in the statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, which would restrict certain school sports based on an individual's biological sex. This market will resolve to “Yes” if this ballot measure is approved as a result of the Washington statewide general election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If voting on the specified ballot measure does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “No”. Subsequent litigation or any failure to implement the measure will have no impact on the resolution of this market. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the State of Washington, including the Washington Secretary of State (https://www.sos.wa.gov/).