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Was the AT&T cellular outage caused by a solar flare?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volume$0
Total volume$27.2K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCFeb 29, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Was the AT&T cellular outage caused by a solar flare?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Feb 29, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is definitively determined that the Feb 22 nationwide AT&T cellular outage in the US was caused by a solar flare. If no such determination is made public by February 25, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. Government and/or AT&T. However, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used to resolve this market.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 1:02:26 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.