Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?

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Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.

Choose a market to analyze 1 open question · Evidence required

24h volume$4.3

Total volume$2.6K

Liquidity$756.7

Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?Accepting ordersMarket odds29.5%

Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?

Yes29.5%Polymarket estimate

No70.5%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $756.7
Deadline · UTC: Jan 1, 2027
Yes bid / ask: 15.0¢ / 44.0¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

Israel is scheduled to hold Knesset elections on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Knesset votes to express confidence in a new government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A vote will qualify only if it passes and the new government is constituted. A vote that is held but fails will not qualify. A motion of no confidence in an existing government will not qualify. The continuation in office of the outgoing caretaker government will not be considered. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Knesset; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.