
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Hung Cao wins the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Jonathan Walker Emord wins the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Eddie Garcia wins the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Scott Parkinson wins the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Chuck Smith wins the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any person other Hung Cao, Jonathan Walker Emord, Eddie Garcia, Scott Parkinson, or Chuck Smith wins the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Virginia. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Virginia Republican Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 2:50:03 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.