Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

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Will Stéphanie Martin win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?

Yes10.2%Polymarket estimate

No89.8%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $26.1K
Deadline · UTC: Oct 5, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 10.0¢ / 10.4¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

Will Françoise Faverjon-Fortin win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?

Yes2.9%Polymarket estimate

No97.1%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $26K
Deadline · UTC: Oct 5, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 0.9¢ / 4.9¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

Get the Foretrace AI forecast

See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.

Fresh successful report: 1 credit. Valid shared report: free.

Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

Resolution source

Will Charles Hudon win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?

Yes1.3%Polymarket estimate

No98.7%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $20.5K
Deadline · UTC: Oct 5, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 0.3¢ / 2.3¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

Get the Foretrace AI forecast

See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.

Fresh successful report: 1 credit. Valid shared report: free.

Resolution rules

Resolution source

Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

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Outcomes & resolution rules

Will Stéphanie Martin win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?

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Resolution rules

Will Françoise Faverjon-Fortin win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?

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Resolution rules

Will Charles Hudon win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Patrick Paquet win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person A win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person B win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person E win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person F win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person G win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person I win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person J win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person K win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person L win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person M win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person N win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person O win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person P win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person Q win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person R win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person S win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person T win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person U win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person V win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?