Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?

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24h volume$66

Total volume$19.1K

Liquidity$13K

Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027

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Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

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Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Accepting ordersMarket odds5.5%

Vance announces he won't run for President in 2028 this year?

Yes5.5%Polymarket estimate

No94.5%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $12.6K
Deadline · UTC: Jan 1, 2027
Yes bid / ask: 5.0¢ / 6.0¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if JD Vance announces that he will not run for President of the United States in the 2028 United States Presidential election between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying announcement must definitively indicate that Vance will not run for President in 2028, or will never run for President. Statements that Vance has not made a decision on whether to run will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from JD Vance or his official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.