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VALORANT Champions 2026: First Americas Team Eliminated
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
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24h volumeUnavailable
Total volumeUnavailable
Liquidity$21.2
Event end date · UTCNov 18, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
7 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
100 ThievesAccepting ordersMarket odds49.5%
Will 100 Thieves be the first Americas team eliminated at VALORANT Champions 2026?
Yes49.5%Polymarket estimate
No50.5%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $5.3
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 18, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 2.0¢ / 97.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Check AI research coverageResolution rules
This market will resolve according to which Americas team is the first to be eliminated from VALORANT Champions 2026 (also known as VCT Champions 2026), currently scheduled for September 24 to October 18, 2026, in Shanghai, China. For the purposes of this market, the Americas teams are the four teams that qualified for VALORANT Champions 2026 through the VCT Americas league as designated by the organizer, Riot Games: 100 Thieves, LOUD, NRG, and G2 Esports. A team is considered eliminated at the moment it can no longer win the tournament: when it loses its Group Stage elimination match or decider match, when it loses a lower bracket match or the Grand Final in the Playoffs, or when it officially withdraws, is disqualified, or is replaced. The Group Stage (September 24 to October 4, 2026) consists of four four-team double-elimination (GSL) groups, with the top two teams from each group advancing to the eight-team double-elimination Playoffs (October 7 to October 18, 2026). The first team eliminated is the team whose eliminating match concludes first, according to the official match schedule and results. If two or more Americas teams are eliminated in matches that conclude at the same time, or by the same official announcement, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. If VALORANT Champions 2026 is canceled, postponed after November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no Americas team has been eliminated within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If the first Americas team eliminated is not listed in this market, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the VALORANT Esports website (https://valorantesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/valorant/VCT/2026/Champions) may also be used.