Loading your workspace…
All markets
US response to Iran’s drone attack by Jan 31?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
View a sample AI report This event is outside current AI coverage.
24h volume$0
Total volume$111.9K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCJan 31, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
US response to Iran’s drone attack by Jan 31?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 31, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
AI research not covered
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageResolution rules
After a drone attack from Iranian-backed militias on a US military base killed 3 US troops on Jan 28, US President Biden vowed to "hold all those responsible to account at a time and in a manner our choosing." This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a US response to the drone attacks by January 31, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” A response by the US refers to action(s) carried out by the US that are explicitly in response to Iran’s drone attack, which may include strikes, cyber attacks, sanctions, etc. The resolution source will be official sources from the US government, however a consensus of credible sources will also be used.