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U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$876.6K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJun 30, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
U.S. refuels Israeli jets for strikes on Iran before July?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jun 30, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States military provides in-air refueling to Israeli aircraft as part of operations involving strikes on Iranian territory by 11:59 PM ET on June 30, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Strikes must be confirmed as targeting sites within Iran, and the refueling must be directly associated with those missions. General military cooperation, joint exercises, or unrelated refueling operations will not count. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible media reporting.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 1:07:20 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.