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U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$153.9K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
U.S. arms embargo on Israel in 2024?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 31, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States imposes an arms embargo on Israel at any point between October 13, 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2024. An arms embargo is defined as a formal U.S. government action that prohibits or restricts the sale, transfer, or delivery of military weapons or defense equipment to Israel or an official announcement from the U.S. government announcing an embargo. A limited embargo, restricting only certain categories of military equipment, will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. An announcement of an embargo will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of whether the embargo actually goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.