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Ursula von der Leyen reelected as EU president?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$24.3K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJul 16, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
Ursula von der Leyen reelected as EU president?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jul 16, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
The election of the next EU commissioner following European Elections is currently scheduled for July 18. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ursula von der Leyen is reelected as the next president of the European Commission. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If no new president of the European Commission is elected following the June 6-9 European Elections by September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official announcements from the European Parliament.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 8:20:31 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.