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University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October 2026
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Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
Choose a market to analyze 1 eligible question · Evidence required
24h volume$3K
Total volume$4.5K
Liquidity$7.2K
Event end date · UTCOct 23, 2026
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Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
7 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
<40.0Accepting ordersMarket odds9.7%
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in October?
Yes9.7%Polymarket estimate
No90.3%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $529.9
- Deadline · UTC
- Oct 23, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.4¢ / 19.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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This market has limited available liquidity.
Check AI research coverageResolution rules
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for October 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for October 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for October 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on October 23, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.