United x American Airlines merger/acquisition announced in 2026?

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$28.8K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2026

Price history

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Polymarket · UTC

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Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

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ClosedMarket odds0%

United x American Airlines merger/acquisition announced in 2026?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Dec 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that American Airlines will be, has been, or is being acquired by or merged with United Airlines, or vice versa, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Mergers or acquisitions involving United Airlines, Inc. or its parent company, United Airlines Holdings, Inc., and American Airlines, Inc. or its parent company, American Airlines Group Inc., will qualify. An announcement by American Airlines or United Airlines within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether or when the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. Announcements of partial sales may count, as long as the acquiring company acquires a controlling interest in the other company. A “controlling interest” refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control the company’s strategic decisions (typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting and governance rights). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from United Airlines and American Airlines; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.