Loading your workspace…
All markets
Ukraine responsible for Moscow attack?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$349.8K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCMar 31, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Ukraine responsible for Moscow attack?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Mar 31, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the March 22 attack at Crocus City Hall is officially attributed to a Ukrainian group by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. ‘Ukrainian group’ will be considered any group which primarily consists of Ukrainians, or is otherwise affiliated with the government of Ukraine. This market may resolve once it is definitively determined whether or not the attack was attributed to a Ukrainian group. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Russian and Ukrainian governments and security services. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.