Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

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24h volume$413.5

Total volume$70K

Liquidity$13.4K

Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Accepting ordersMarket odds2.6%

Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

Yes2.6%Polymarket estimate

No97.5%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $13.4K
Deadline · UTC: Jan 1, 2027
Yes bid / ask: 2.1¢ / 3.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially passed in Ukraine by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war. A qualifying referendum will be considered to be passed if a majority of valid votes cast nationwide support the proposal. Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.