Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.

24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$3.1M

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCNov 27, 2025

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds0%

Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Nov 27, 2025
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Government of Ukraine publicly agrees to a U.S.-approved peace framework for the Russo–Ukrainian war, by November 27, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, the agreement must be explicitly described as Ukraine’s formal acceptance of either (1) the U.S. 28-point peace plan, or (2) a revised or alternative peace framework that the United States publicly states it has approved. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to “Yes”, regardless of if/when the agreement is implemented, enters into force, or is fully carried out. Counter proposals by Ukraine, agreements to “treat the U.S. framework as a basis”, “work within the framework” or other ambiguous statements will not qualify unless they are clearly described by both sides or a consensus of credible reporting as Ukraine’s formal acceptance of a U.S.-approved peace framework. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.