
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins more than 50% of votes in the UK General Election scheduled for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by the Labour Party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins between 45% (inclusive) and 50% (inclusive) of votes in the UK General Election scheduled for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by the Labour Party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins between 40% (inclusive) and 45% (exclusive) of votes in the UK General Election scheduled for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by the Labour Party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins between 35% (inclusive) and 40% (exclusive) of votes in the UK General Election scheduled for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by the Labour Party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins between 30% (inclusive) and 35% (exclusive) of votes in the UK General Election scheduled for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by the Labour Party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party wins less than 30% of votes in the UK General Election scheduled for July 4, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the proportion of votes won by the Labour Party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 11:29:30 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.