
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party controls less than 325 seats in the House of Commons as a result of the next UK General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If voting in the next UK General Election does not occur by January 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Labour Party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party controls between 325 (inclusive) and 349 (inclusive) seats in the House of Commons as a result of the next UK General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If voting in the next UK General Election does not occur by January 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Labour Party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party controls between 350 (inclusive) and 374 (inclusive) seats in the House of Commons as a result of the next UK General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If voting in the next UK General Election does not occur by January 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Labour Party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party controls between 375 (inclusive) and 399 (inclusive) seats in the House of Commons as a result of the next UK General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If voting in the next UK General Election does not occur by January 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Labour Party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party controls between 400 (inclusive) and 424 (inclusive) seats in the House of Commons as a result of the next UK General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If voting in the next UK General Election does not occur by January 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Labour Party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party controls between 425 (inclusive) and 449 (inclusive) seats in the House of Commons as a result of the next UK General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If voting in the next UK General Election does not occur by January 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Labour Party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Labour Party controls 450 or more seats in the House of Commons as a result of the next UK General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If voting in the next UK General Election does not occur by January 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Labour Party, not any coalition of which it may be a part. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UK Government, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 11:34:06 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.