
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared before December 31, 23:59 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. (e.g. if on December 23, 2023 an election is scheduled for March 23, 2024, this market will resolve to "Yes"). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 11:51:12 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.