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Turnout in 2025 Bolivia Presidential Election first round?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$143.2K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCAug 17, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
4 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
<5.8mClosedMarket odds100%
Will valid votes be fewer than 5.8 million in Bolivia election?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Aug 17, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
Bolivia's general elections are scheduled for August 17, 2025, with a runoff on 19 October if no candidate wins outright by securing over 50% of valid votes or at least 40% with a 10-point lead. This market will resolve based on the total number of valid votes (votos válidos) cast in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the election results from the Bolivian government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/). If these results are contested or otherwise unreleased, this market will remain open until the official voting results are confirmed and publicly released by the Plurinational Electoral Body.