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Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
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Choose a market to analyze 2 open questions · Evidence required
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$46.3K
Liquidity$32.9K
Event end date · UTCJul 1, 2027
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
2 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
December 31, 2026Accepting ordersMarket odds14%
Will Turkey rejoin the F-35 program by December 31, 2026?
Yes14%Polymarket estimate
No86%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $11.2K
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 1, 2027
- Yes bid / ask
- 13.0¢ / 15.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur: - Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner; - Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or - the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components. Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met. Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.