
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
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How research worksOn February 3, Donald Trump signed an executive order creating a sovereign wealth fund (see: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/feb/03/trump-sovereign-wealth-fund-tiktok). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sovereign wealth fund created by the Trump administration acquires ownership of any of TikTok's U.S. operations or stock by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement of an acquisition will qualify for a “Yes” resolution regardless of if/when the assets actually come under management of the fund. The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 1:14:19 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.