
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
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How research worksOn February 3, Donald Trump signed an executive order creating a sovereign wealth fund (see: https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025/feb/03/trump-sovereign-wealth-fund-tiktok). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the sovereign wealth fund created by the Trump administration acquires any Bitcoin (including through an ETF) by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The fund must actually acquire Bitcoin or a Bitcoin position in order to qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Announcements of the intention to acquire Bitcoin will not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 1:06:30 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.