Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before June?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$424.6K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCMay 31, 2025

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds100%

Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before June?

Yes100%Polymarket estimate

No0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: May 31, 2025
Yes bid / ask: 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States and Ukraine enact or sign any deal between April 28 and May 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, that explicitly involves Ukrainian minerals. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying mineral deals include but are not limited partnerships involving minerals, future rights to mineral resources, mining rights, or any other form of cooperation related to Ukrainian minerals. For the purpose of this market "enacted" means that the agreement has been officially signed or otherwise formally adopted by both parties within the market’s time frame. A qualifying agreement which is signed by both parties will qualify, regardless of whether it is later ratified by relevant bodies (U.S. Congress, Verkhovna Rada, etc.). Announcements of an agreement will not alone qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US and Ukraine and a consensus of credible reporting.